UBC ATSC 413 - Forest-fire Weather & Climate

Meteorological Concepts: Theory & Applications

(Synoptics & Mesoscale)

Under revision.


mc01: Weather Map Analysis

  1. Intro
  2. Upper-air maps
    • (a) and Lessons from NOAA -https://www.noaa.gov/jetstream/upper-air-charts
    • (b) including upper-air feature identification -https://www.noaa.gov/jetstream/upper-air-charts/basic-wave-patterns
  3. Surface maps (Also see mc05.1, below.)
    • and Lessons from NOAA -https://www.noaa.gov/jetstream/synoptic
  4. More feature identification (fronts, troughs, etc.)
    • (a) weather.gov Training Page -https://www.weather.gov/source/zhu/ZHU_Training_Page/Miscellaneous/chart_comparison/chart_comparison.htm
    • (b) also (Milrad, 2018: Ch 5)
  5. How to Decode METARs.
  6. Video how to utilize the 50 kPa (500 mb) chart: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h_Uue5UBCOU&t=22s
    and a video how to analyze 100 - 50 kPa Thickness lines: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZqvElWugxs

mc02: How To Read Weather Maps and Cross Sections on this Website 

  1. Annotated weather-map examples, with explanations.
  2. Station plot models:

mc03: Satellite Image Access & Interpretation

  1. RAMMB-CIRA
  2. Worldview:
  3. Multispectral composite imagery using RGB displays, and other automated satellite products .
  4. xxx

mc04: Extra-tropical (mid-latitude) Cyclones

  1. Intro: Cyclone Evolution & Movement
  2. Cyclolysis - Boundary Layer Drag Kills Cyclones (with a review of geostrophic wind)
  3. Cyclogenesis - Part 1: Divergence Aloft
  4. Cyclogenesis - Part 2: East of Rossby-wave Troughs (with a review of Rossby waves)
  5. Cyclogenesis - Part 3: Vertical Tilting and Stacking (with a review of the hypsometric eq. and virtual T)
  6. Cyclogenesis - Part 4: Jet Streaks
  7. Cyclogenesis - Part 5: Mountain Lee Effects (with a review of vorticity)
  8. Quasi-geostrophic (QG) Theory for Cyclones (vorticity tendency [& Laplacian tips], height tendency, and omega eqs.)
  9. Cyclogenesis - Part 6: Thermodynamic Effects & Cyclone Bombs (with diabatic QG height-tendency discussion)
  10. Ascent in Cyclones: Trenberth omega eq. (read Stull p458); and Q-vectors (read Stull sections 13.5.3, 13.7.3 and Lackmann p48-50)
  11. Cyclogenesis - Part 7: Big-Picture Summary Graphics, including conveyor belts

mc05: Fronts

  1. Intro: analyzing fronts on wx maps
  2. Surface fronts: horizontal and vertical structure. (Read Stull p389, and section 12.3. Read Lackmann sections 6.1 and 6.4.0 - 6.4.2.)
  3. Why fronts exist: Creation of barclinic zones (read Stull section 13.7.4) and geostrophic adjustment (Read Stull section 12.4)
  4. Mid-tropospheric (occluded) fronts and TROWALs. (Read Stull section 12.6. Read Lackman section 6.4.3.)
  5. Upper-tropospheric fronts. (Read Stull section 12.8. Read Lackman section 6.5.)
  6. Frontogenesis. Kinematic & thermodynamic (Read Stull 12.5.1-12.5.2, and Lackmann 6.2);
    and dynamic (Read Stull 12.5.3 and Lackmann 6.3)
  7. Misc.: dry lines, bent-back fronts, sting jets, arctic fronts, instant occlusions, coastal fronts. (Read Stull 12.7, 12.9, and Lackman 6.4.1.3, 6.4.3.3 & 6.4.4)
  8. [ECCC doesn't need this:
    Q-vector understanding of fronts (Review Stull section 13.5.3, then read Stull section 13.7.5). Interpretation:
    • Frontogenesis occurs where Q-vectors cross isentropes (lines of constant potential temperature) from cold toward warm;
    • Updrafts occur where Q-vectors converge, such as at diffluence regions near the leading edge of cold fronts. ]

mc06: Humidity, Temperature, Clouds, Boundary Layers & Smoke Dispersion

  1. Humidity Fundamentals
  2. Temperature, potential temperature, virtual temperature
  3. Convective cumuliform vs. upslope stratiform clouds
  4. Atmospheric Boundary Layer (ABL) and smoke-dispersion fundamentals
  5. Dispersion - Gaussian Plume fundamentals
  6. HYSPLIT Dispersion model

mc07: Soundings, Thunderstorms & PyroCb

  1. Mandatory and significant levels
  2. Plotting on tephigrams (EC large; and PrMet small ) and skew-T diagrams
  3. Feature identification (mixed layer top, tropopause, etc.)
  4. Static and dynamic stability and turbulence
  5. Thunderstorm Convection (CAPE, CIN, indices)
  6. Emagram illustrating equivalent theta and web-bulb theta
  7. Pyrocumulonimbus (PyroCb) = Cumulonimbus Flammagenitus
  8. Fire whirls ( Australia , Australia , California , ) and fire tornadoes (at Gun Lake, BC , at Jasper, AB , California1 , California2 , )

mc08: How to Give Weather Briefings

  1. Cookbook tips for short (10 min) weather briefings for Vancouver.
  2. Demo video of a 10-min weather briefing by Jalena Bennett, UBC.
    .
  3. Demo video of a 50-min Fire Weather Briefing, by Jalena Bennett, UBC, for the Sparks Lake fire.
  4. Example of Notes and Links used by Jalena for her Sparks Lake fire briefing.
    .
  5. Fire Weather Discussions by Experts: A good example by Neal McLoughlin, BC Wildfire Service. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DHgrCZDgAE8

mc09: Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

  1. NWP Fundamentals.
  2. Description of the NWP process. Read Stull, 2018: Practical Meteorology, Chapter 20.
  3. COMET modules on government and research NWP models worldwide
  4. Ensemble NWP , Probabilistic Forecasts , Interpretation & Pitfalls ,
  5. Data Assimilation
  6. Table of NWP models (as of Dec 2023; draft Excel file) .

mc10: Coupled NWP - Fire Behavior Models

  1. WRF-SFIRE
  2. xx
  3. xx

mc11: Weather Forecasting

  1. Modern weather forecasting using tools on the internet-v4. Presented by Lynn Engel (28 Nov 2024).
  2. COMET Module: Tactical Fire Weather Forecasting .
  3. BC Wildfire Service presentation by Chief Forecaster Matt MacDonald (19 Nov 2024). An .mp4 video, 1 hr long. Covers: overview, predictive services unit, products issued, & review of the 2024 fire season, including job openings.
  4. ECCC presentation by Mariette Kulin (Dec 2023). Meteorology Careers at the Meteorological Service of Canada: Who we are, what we do and how you can apply. (a pdf copy of powerpoint slides)

mc12: Regional & Mountain Winds

  1. Downslope Windstorms: Foehn, Chinook, Santa-Ana, Diablo (Stull, 2018: Practical Meteorology, Chapter 17, section 17.10)
  2. Mountain Waves (Stull, 2018: Practical Meteorology, Chapter 17, section 17.7)
  3. xx

mc13: Climate

  1. Climate Change vs. Wildfires . (see the Climate tab at the top of this web page)
  2. xx
  3. xx

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